Free Ebook Modelling Uncertainty in Flood Forecasting Systems
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Book Details :
Published on: 2004-05-15
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Original language: English
Like all natural hazards, flooding is a complex and inherently uncertain phenomenon. Despite advances in developing flood forecasting models and techniques, the uncertainty in forecasts remains unavoidable. This uncertainty needs to be acknowledged, and uncertainty estimation in flood forecasting provides a rational basis for risk-based criteria. This book presents the development and applications of various methods based on probablity and fuzzy set theories for modelling uncertainty in flood forecasting systems. In particular, it presents a methodology for uncertainty assessment using disaggregation of time series inputs in the framework of both the Monte Carlo method and the Fuzzy Extention Principle. It reports an improvement in the First Order Second Moment method, using second degree reconstruction, and derives qualitative scales for the interpretation of qualitative uncertainty. Application is to flood forecasting models for the Klodzko catchment in POland and the Loire River in France. Prospects for the hybrid techniques of uncertainty modelling and probability-possibility transformations are also explored and reported. Global flood risk and flood data solutions - Ambiental Ltd Working to understand and reduce flood risk Ambiental is an established specialist in international flood modelling and flood risk assessment. Publications - IAHS Publications. IAHS publishes Hydrological Sciences Journal and three book series: the Benchmark Papers in Hydrology series that collects together by theme the ... GEM Computer Modelling Group Ltd. Full physics capability for modelling ASP Foam and other cEOR processes in both clastic and carbonate reservoirs Model polymer surfactant or Alkali injection with ... Metocean Measurements - fugro.com A good understanding of meteorological and oceanographic (metocean) conditions reduces uncertainty in engineering specifications provides help in operational ... MetEd Home What Is MetEd? MetEd is a free collection of hundreds of training resources intended for the geoscience community. Whether you're an experienced meteorologist honing ... Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation Index Volume 18(4) published on 31-Oct-2015. Modelling Research Policy: Ex-Ante Evaluation of Complex Policy Instruments Petra Ahrweiler Michel Schilperoord Andreas Pyka ... UTS: Alphabetical list of subjects - UTS Handbook The UTS: Handbook is the authoritative source of information on approved courses and subjects offered at University of Technology Sydney. Find a Supervisor /PhD Project - NUI Galway About NUI Galway. Since 1845 NUI Galway has been sharing the highest quality teaching and research with Ireland and the world. Find out what makes our University so ... Early warning of disasters: Facts and figures - SciDev.Net Lucy Pearson looks at early warning systems for disasters their uses and limits and what accounts for the gap between warning and action. Through history disasters ... Ecosystem services sustainability in the Mediterranean Sea ... Ecosystem services (ES) are the contribution of natural ecosystems to human well-being for instance in the form of food provision protection from flood events or ...
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